Both Murali and Fleming echoed in their TV interviews that 2 wins will carry Chennai Super Kings team to the semifinals. This belief is held by both the team and its fans. But is it true?
Take a look at the IPL points table and the probable results for the rest of the IPL matches. And Decide for yourself
IPL Points Table
| Teams | Matches | Points |
| Rajasthan Royals | 9 | 14 |
| Kings XI Punjab | 9 | 12 |
| Chennai Super Kings | 10 | 12 |
| Mumbai Indians | 9 | 10 |
| Delhi Daredevils | 10 | 10 |
| Kolkata Knight Riders | 10 | 10 |
| Deccan Chargers | 10 | 4 |
| Bangalore Royal Chargers | 9 | 4 |
Probable Results in Upcoming Fixtures
| Home Team | Away | Probable Result |
| Rajasthan Royals | Bangalore Royal Challengers | Rajasthan Royals |
| Delhi Daredevils | Kings XI Punjab | Kings XI Punjab |
| Kolkata Knight Riders | Chennai Super Kings | |
| Deccan Chargers | Mumbai Indians | Mumbai Indians |
| Bangalore Royal Challengers | Delhi Daredevils | Delhi Daredevils |
| Kolkata Knight Riders | Rajasthan Royals | Kolkata Knight Riders |
| Mumbai Indians | Kings XI Punjab | Mumbai Indians |
| Chennai Super Kings | Bangalore Royal Challengers | |
| Delhi Daredevils | Kolkata Knight Riders | Delhi Daredevils |
| Kings XI Punjab | Deccan Chargers | Kings XI Punjab |
| Chennai Super Kings | Rajasthan Royals | |
| Delhi Daredevils | Mumbai Indians | Delhi Daredevils |
| Deccan Chargers | Bangalore Royal Challengers | Deccan Chargers |
| Kolkata Knight Riders | Kings XI Punjab | Kolkata Knight Riders |
| Rajasthan Royals | Mumbai Indians | Rajasthan Royals |
| Deccan Chargers | Chennai Super Kings | Deccan Chargers |
| Bangalore Royal Challengers | Mumbai Indians | Mumbai Indians |
| Kings XI Punjab | Rajasthan Royals | Kings XI Punjab |
It clearly shows that three or four teams would reach the required 16 points and would fight for the final two semifinal spots. This means the net run rate would be the one that decide those spots. And Chennai Super Kings with one of the poorest run rates (as of now) may miss out that spot. So to be sure, it is essential that the team musters 3 wins in the rest of their IPL campaign. If not, they have to depend on Bangalore Royal Challengers and Deccan Chargers to produce a few upsets against the other teams.
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